Friday, January 12, 2007

Playoffs!

This week has four really good looking playoff games, well at least on paper.

Baltimore 22, Indianapolis 13
When Peyton loses in the playoffs it is almost never in a shootout. The finesse offense of theirs gets shut down, a physical 3-4 team (Patriots, Patriots, Steelers) just destroys them. That is what is going to happen this time. I want to pick them as an upset because I think Peyton actually likes the underdog roll but I just can't pick them. The good 3-4 teams, well Baltimore plays that 4-3/3-4 hybrid that New England players, the good ones just beat Indy. Yet another year with sub-par results in the playoffs should cost the Indy OC his job but it won't. Everyone wants to blame Indy's losses on the defense but it is all the offense. In Peyton's six playoff losses he's only needed to score 25 or more points once, when they were blown out by the Jets 41-0. The other five losses, 19-16, 23-17, 24-14, 20-3, 21-18 (what a fun game), it looks to me that the D is doing their job.

San Diego 44, New England 10
In the past year Bill Cowher and Tony LaRussa both won the Championship so maybe it is Marty's time. In this round of the playoffs 14-2 teams don't lose very often, if at all. I could easily see it going silly for the Chargers as well, in experience at QB and Marty as a coach, silly can happen. Plus I heard a rumor that Tom Brady guy can win some in the playoffs (11-1 I believe). Still I'm picking the blow out, first play, play action deep, Rivers to random SD WR on the side that Samuel isn't on, Touchdown!

Chicago 24, Seattle 17
This game's score will appear much closer than the game will be. Sexy Rexy or not, 13-3 teams don't lose to 9-7 teams in the playoffs. The Bears will throw some deep but just pound the ball on the ground in 3 wide sets because the Seahawks D is weak and even weaker against a 3 wide set. The Bears D is just been playing on cruise control since like week 8, they'll be fine. Plus the Seahawks don't have Steve Smith.

New Orleans 38, Philadelphia 14
Five wide, all the time. The Saints are going to come out passing and passing often. Then when you think they'll run they will pass again. The Eagles stop the run well but must blitz to stop the pass and Brees will shred them. The Eagles will then force themselves to throw too often thus eliminating their best weaspon, Westbrook.

I really want it to be NE, Indy, Chicago, NO but I think I might luck out and get half that. Of course The Football Gods could continue the year of spite and have the Seahawks and Eagles win, two teams I can't stand.

No comments: